The Radical Centrist™

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Archives for January 2022

Radcen’s Prediction for Donald Trump and the 2024 Election

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Time for a bold prediction: Here’s how I think Donald Trump is going to screw over the Republican Party for the 2024 elections.

Donald Trump running again for president, will he or won’t he? That’s the short answer/question, bear with me.

Does Mr Trump *want* to be president? Yes, now that he’s had that taste of power and his ego has been properly boosted, yes I think he does. If for no other reason to show people he’s a winner by winning back the office. But he won’t run. His ego is also extremely fragile and he would not be able to emotionally handle another loss, and for all of his public bravado he also does not have the guts to take that chance.

What Mr Trump will do is keep his name out there… supporters will flock to him… other spineless politicians in other races who secretly despise him will cower to him seeking his endorsement… potential presidential candidates will not declare as Trump will be seen as unbeatable in the primaries, which will serve to keep the field empty of challengers… the Republican Party will get whipped into a frenzy… then…

…right at the last minute before it’s too late to field another viable candidate… Trump will back down.

Bet on it.

Oh, there will be some lame excuse, but he’ll back down and the Republican Party will be stuck with no viable candidate. It’s not like Mr Trump is one to honor convention or rules, or consider other people, he’ll just leave ’em hangin’. You could say that Trump will be “campaigning” for Biden and/or Harris, but I digress.

Anyway, what does Trump gain from this? By keeping his name out there Trump gets…

  • his name in the news every night,
  • the ability to continue to beg for money from his sucke… supporters,
  • people fawning all over him,
  • pundits talking about him,
  • candidates in other races making the trek to see him for his blessing,
  • rallies, rallies, rallies,

…in other words, money and ego stroking, just what drives the man for everything in his empty shell of a life. In his mind he’ll prove to everyone he’s “The Man” everyone should worship and adore.

Let’s be real… Donald Trump does not care about the country… Donald Trump does not care about the people… Donald Trump does not care about the Republican Party… I don’t think Donald Trump even cares about his own family. Donald Trump cares about Donald Trump. Period.

This is how, through stoking his own man-child needs, he will screw the Republican Party in 2024 and help (re-)elect a Democrat president… and the Republican Party, by being utterly spineless and refusing to distance themselves from him now, even though they mostly despise him as well, will be complicit.

Disclaimer: All this will be null and void in the event of a Donald Trump criminal conviction, but I honestly doubt that will ever happen.

Insurrection Reflections

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It has been one year since the January 6, 2021, insurrection. I’ve been reading and hearing a lot of things marking the anniversary, but I’m going to take a different track. I’m going to put down some more abstract thoughts and reflections.

Way back, and we’re talking somewhere between 30 and 40 years ago, I watched a difficult transition of power from one administration to the next. This was not in the United States, this was in another country, though I forget now which one. The specific country isn’t important to my point, it’s the imagery and underlying mindset that’s important.

Long story short, there were a couple tanks involved outside the parliament building. One of the windows in the building was broken and burned out, charred around the edges. Hanging out the window was the former leader who lost the election, waving his country’s flag, being defiant and refusing to relinquish power.  A stand-off ensued.

My primary thoughts at the  time were, “This is what sets the US apart from much of the rest of the world. Even when the transitions of power are contentious we still have a respectable process and we all honor and respect the process and our country overall.” And in random discussions with random people over the years I never had a person disagree with me on that point.

Then along came Donald Trump.

Donald Fucking Trump.

All that is now out the window. One year ago today we had an an insurrection, an attempted coup. One man, Donald Trump, an empty shell of human flesh, with no regard or respect or honor for the country or its institutions, desiring complete power, has ruined our country for a long time to come, if not forever. I don’t think most people understand how close we came to losing it all.  Not just our friendships and our families, but our country.

There are a lot of reasons that set the stage for this, which I cover in other posts, but Donald Trump was precisely the immoral power-obsessed con man able to (almost) pull it off. And in such a short time, too. Talk about being in the right place at the right time.

The saddest part is not that it happened, the saddest part is politicians being willing to utterly sacrifice their country for their party and their own power. This hyper-partisanship is not serving us well.  Laws mean nothing when the people charged with enforcing them reuse to do so.